Saudi Pro League
Saudi Arabia · Tier 3
Saudi Pro League is the top flight in Saudi Arabia. Golviva puts the combined value of its 18 clubs at €1.3B. Below, every team ranked by our own squad value, each player compared with his market price, and the players we rate furthest from it.
Saudi Pro League predicted table: title and relegation chances
Golviva's model plays the 202 remaining matches out 10,000 times. Most likely champions: Al-Hilal Saudi FC (80%).
- Title80%Champions League100%Relegation–
- Title11%Champions League>99%Relegation–
- Title8%Champions League>99%Relegation–
- Title1%Champions League96%Relegation–
- Title<1%Champions League81%Relegation–
- Title–Champions League17%Relegation–
- Title–Champions League4%Relegation<1%
- Title–Champions League2%Relegation<1%
- Title–Champions League<1%Relegation3%
- Title–Champions League<1%Relegation3%
- Title–Champions League<1%Relegation9%
- Title–Champions League–Relegation19%
- Title–Champions League–Relegation28%
- Title–Champions League–Relegation31%
- Title–Champions League–Relegation36%
- Title–Champions League–Relegation39%
- Title–Champions League–Relegation41%
- Title–Champions League–Relegation92%
Every remaining match is drawn from Golviva's match model (team strength from recent results and xG) and the season is replayed 10,000 times; ties on points go by goal difference. Our model's probabilities, for information only and not betting advice: Golviva does not offer, accept or arrange bets and is not affiliated with any betting operator. Updated Nov 9, 12:15 PM.
Clubs in order of squad value
- 1
Al-Hilal SFCSquad value€230.5MAvg age26.9 - 2
Al-Ahli SFCSquad value€191.6MAvg age25 - 3
Al-Qadsiah FCSquad value€149.2MAvg age26.8 - 4
Al-Ittihad ClubSquad value€146.2MAvg age26.1 - 5
Al-Nassr FCSquad value€125.4MAvg age27.4 - 6
NEOM SCSquad value€85.4MAvg age26.2 - 7
Al-Diriyah FCSquad value€68.6MAvg age27.9 - 8
Al-Shabab FCSquad value€41.2MAvg age27 - 9
Al-Ettifaq FCSquad value€39MAvg age26.1 - 10
Al-Taawoun FCSquad value€31.2MAvg age25.2 - 11
Al-Fateh SCSquad value€25.6MAvg age25.1 - 12
Al-Kholood ClubSquad value€21.4MAvg age24.8 - 13
Al-Khaleej FCSquad value€20.3MAvg age28.6 - 14
Al-Fayha FCSquad value€18.1MAvg age26.9 - 15
Abha ClubSquad value€17.6MAvg age26.2 - 16
Al-Riyadh SCSquad value€15.9MAvg age26.8 - 17
Al-Hazem SCSquad value€15MAvg age27.3 - 18
Al-Faisaly FCSquad value€11.3MAvg age28.6
Where we part ways with the market
Our values start from the market price and move away from it only on evidence. For Saudi Pro League, these are the players where the evidence pulls furthest, up or down.
Worth more than the price
Our value is above the market's: age, output or contract suggest the price hasn't caught up yet.
Priced above our value
The market asks more than our estimate: the evidence points to a lower value.
Under-21s on the rise
Players under 21 whose age lifts our value: young players' prices and fees usually keep rising.










