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Germany

Bundesliga

Germany · Tier 1

Bundesliga is the top flight in Germany. Golviva puts the combined value of its 18 clubs at €5.1B. Below, every team ranked by our own squad value, each player compared with his market price, and the players we rate furthest from it.

Total value
€5.1B
Market value
€5.1B
Clubs
18
Players
512
Season projection

Bundesliga predicted table: title and relegation chances

Golviva's model plays the 225 remaining matches out 10,000 times. Most likely champions: Bayern München (95%).

Every remaining match is drawn from Golviva's match model (team strength from recent results and xG) and the season is replayed 10,000 times; ties on points go by goal difference. Our model's probabilities, for information only and not betting advice: Golviva does not offer, accept or arrange bets and is not affiliated with any betting operator. Updated Nov 9, 12:15 PM.

Clubs in order of squad value

Against the market

Where we part ways with the market

Our values start from the market price and move away from it only on evidence. For Bundesliga, these are the players where the evidence pulls furthest, up or down.

Worth more than the price

Our value is above the market's: age, output or contract suggest the price hasn't caught up yet.

Priced above our value

The market asks more than our estimate: the evidence points to a lower value.

Under-21s on the rise

Players under 21 whose age lifts our value: young players' prices and fees usually keep rising.