Liga Portugal
Portugal · Tier 2
Liga Portugal is the top flight in Portugal. Golviva puts the combined value of its 18 clubs at €2.1B. Below, every team ranked by our own squad value, each player compared with his market price, and the players we rate furthest from it.
Liga Portugal predicted table: title and relegation chances
Golviva's model plays the 208 remaining matches out 10,000 times. Most likely champions: FC Porto (55%).
- Title55%Champions League>99%Relegation–
- Title33%Champions League99%Relegation–
- Title12%Champions League97%Relegation–
- Title–Champions League2%Relegation–
- Title–Champions League1%Relegation–
- Title–Champions League<1%Relegation–
- Title–Champions League<1%Relegation–
- Title–Champions League<1%Relegation–
- Title–Champions League<1%Relegation<1%
- Title–Champions League–Relegation1%
- Title–Champions League–Relegation2%
- Title–Champions League–Relegation3%
- Title–Champions League–Relegation14%
- Title–Champions League–Relegation14%
- Title–Champions League–Relegation33%
- Title–Champions League–Relegation42%
- Title–Champions League–Relegation43%
- Title–Champions League–Relegation46%
Every remaining match is drawn from Golviva's match model (team strength from recent results and xG) and the season is replayed 10,000 times; ties on points go by goal difference. Our model's probabilities, for information only and not betting advice: Golviva does not offer, accept or arrange bets and is not affiliated with any betting operator. Updated Nov 9, 12:15 PM.
Clubs in order of squad value
- 1
FC PortoSquad value€482.2MAvg age25.4 - 2
Sporting CPSquad value€436.2MAvg age23.2 - 3
SL BenficaSquad value€429.7MAvg age24.4 - 4
SC BragaSquad value€170.3MAvg age25 - 5
FC FamalicãoSquad value€81.4MAvg age23.2 - 6
FC AlvercaSquad value€70MAvg age23.3 - 7
Vitória Guimarães SCSquad value€65.4MAvg age23.5 - 8
CF Estrela AmadoraSquad value€57.5MAvg age23.2 - 9
GD Estoril PraiaSquad value€49.6MAvg age24.7 - 10
Rio Ave FCSquad value€47.4MAvg age24.2 - 11
FC AroucaSquad value€39MAvg age24.3 - 12
Moreirense FCSquad value€36.3MAvg age23 - 13
Gil Vicente FCSquad value€32.5MAvg age24.5 - 14
Casa Pia ACSquad value€30MAvg age25.4 - 15
CD Santa ClaraSquad value€26.7MAvg age24.2 - 16
CD NacionalSquad value€25.3MAvg age23.9 - 17
CS MarítimoSquad value€21.7MAvg age24.8 - 18
Académico Viseu FCSquad value€20.4MAvg age26.5
Where we part ways with the market
Our values start from the market price and move away from it only on evidence. For Liga Portugal, these are the players where the evidence pulls furthest, up or down.
Worth more than the price
Our value is above the market's: age, output or contract suggest the price hasn't caught up yet.
Priced above our value
The market asks more than our estimate: the evidence points to a lower value.
Under-21s on the rise
Players under 21 whose age lifts our value: young players' prices and fees usually keep rising.













