LaLiga
Spain · Tier 1
LaLiga is the top flight in Spain. Golviva puts the combined value of its 20 clubs at €6B. Below, every team ranked by our own squad value, each player compared with his market price, and the players we rate furthest from it.
LaLiga predicted table: title and relegation chances
Golviva's model plays the 260 remaining matches out 10,000 times. Most likely champions: Barcelona (79%).
- Title79%Champions League100%Relegation–
- Title19%Champions League>99%Relegation–
- Title1%Champions League96%Relegation–
- Title–Champions League64%Relegation–
- Title–Champions League16%Relegation<1%
- Title–Champions League12%Relegation<1%
- Title–Champions League9%Relegation<1%
- Title–Champions League2%Relegation2%
- Title–Champions League<1%Relegation6%
- Title–Champions League1%Relegation5%
- Title–Champions League<1%Relegation7%
- Title–Champions League1%Relegation8%
- Title–Champions League<1%Relegation14%
- Title–Champions League<1%Relegation17%
- Title–Champions League<1%Relegation18%
- Title–Champions League<1%Relegation23%
- Title–Champions League–Relegation24%
- Title–Champions League–Relegation29%
- Title–Champions League–Relegation50%
- Title–Champions League–Relegation97%
Every remaining match is drawn from Golviva's match model (team strength from recent results and xG) and the season is replayed 10,000 times; ties on points go by goal difference. Our model's probabilities, for information only and not betting advice: Golviva does not offer, accept or arrange bets and is not affiliated with any betting operator. Updated Nov 9, 12:15 PM.
Clubs in order of squad value
- 1
Real MadridSquad value€1.5BAvg age25.6 - 2
FC BarcelonaSquad value€1.3BAvg age24.7 - 3
Atlético de MadridSquad value€669.6MAvg age26.2 - 4
Villarreal CFSquad value€368.4MAvg age25.6 - 5
Real SociedadSquad value€287.3MAvg age24.9 - 6
Real Betis BalompiéSquad value€249.6MAvg age27.8 - 7
Athletic BilbaoSquad value€206.4MAvg age26.5 - 8
Celta de VigoSquad value€185.3MAvg age26.3 - 9
Sevilla FCSquad value€172.8MAvg age25.4 - 10
Valencia CFSquad value€155.6MAvg age26.5 - 11
RCD Espanyol BarcelonaSquad value€133.2MAvg age26.5 - 12
Deportivo A CoruñaSquad value€129.9MAvg age26 - 13
Racing SantanderSquad value€116.2MAvg age24.8 - 14
Levante UDSquad value€96.2MAvg age24.3 - 15
Rayo VallecanoSquad value€89.1MAvg age28.2 - 16
Getafe CFSquad value€87MAvg age27 - 17
Elche CFSquad value€79.1MAvg age25.8 - 18
CA OsasunaSquad value€79MAvg age27.5 - 19
Deportivo AlavésSquad value€74.6MAvg age26.9 - 20
Málaga CFSquad value€64MAvg age25.1
Where we part ways with the market
Our values start from the market price and move away from it only on evidence. For LaLiga, these are the players where the evidence pulls furthest, up or down.
Worth more than the price
Our value is above the market's: age, output or contract suggest the price hasn't caught up yet.
Priced above our value
The market asks more than our estimate: the evidence points to a lower value.
Under-21s on the rise
Players under 21 whose age lifts our value: young players' prices and fees usually keep rising.














