Ekstraklasa (Poland)
Poland · Tier 4
Ekstraklasa (Poland) is the top flight in Poland. Golviva puts the combined value of its 18 clubs at €471.2M. Below, every team ranked by our own squad value, each player compared with his market price, and the players we rate furthest from it.
Ekstraklasa (Poland) predicted table: title and relegation chances
Golviva's model plays the 182 remaining matches out 10,000 times. Most likely champions: Lech Poznan (78%).
- Title78%Top 499%Relegation–
- Title17%Top 493%Relegation–
- Title2%Top 457%Relegation–
- Title2%Top 447%Relegation<1%
- Title1%Top 438%Relegation<1%
- Title<1%Top 426%Relegation<1%
- Title<1%Top 414%Relegation1%
- Title<1%Top 411%Relegation1%
- Title–Top 48%Relegation2%
- Title–Top 42%Relegation8%
- Title–Top 42%Relegation9%
- Title–Top 41%Relegation13%
- Title–Top 4<1%Relegation25%
- Title–Top 41%Relegation24%
- Title–Top 4<1%Relegation31%
- Title–Top 4<1%Relegation43%
- Title–Top 4–Relegation65%
- Title–Top 4–Relegation79%
Every remaining match is drawn from Golviva's match model (team strength from recent results and xG) and the season is replayed 10,000 times; ties on points go by goal difference. Our model's probabilities, for information only and not betting advice: Golviva does not offer, accept or arrange bets and is not affiliated with any betting operator. Updated Nov 9, 12:15 PM.
Clubs in order of squad value
- 1
Lech PoznańSquad value€66.2MAvg age24.3 - 2
Jagiellonia BialystokSquad value€40.7MAvg age23.4 - 3
Widzew LodzSquad value€37.1MAvg age25.4 - 4
Górnik ZabrzeSquad value€35.6MAvg age25.4 - 5
Raków CzęstochowaSquad value€33.5MAvg age23.7 - 6
CracoviaSquad value€28MAvg age23.9 - 7
Legia WarszawaSquad value€27.9MAvg age24.6 - 8
Korona KielceSquad value€27.1MAvg age24.3 - 9
Zaglebie LubinSquad value€24.9MAvg age25.1 - 10
Pogon SzczecinSquad value€21.9MAvg age24.6 - 11
Motor LublinSquad value€21.6MAvg age24.4 - 12
Wisla KrakówSquad value€20.5MAvg age25.6 - 13
Wisla PlockSquad value€18.8MAvg age26.2 - 14
Wieczysta KrakowSquad value€16.1MAvg age26.2 - 15
Slask WroclawSquad value€14MAvg age24.7 - 16
Radomiak RadomSquad value€13.6MAvg age25.8 - 17
GKS KatowiceSquad value€12.9MAvg age26.6 - 18
Piast GliwiceSquad value€10.9MAvg age25.2
Where we part ways with the market
Our values start from the market price and move away from it only on evidence. For Ekstraklasa (Poland), these are the players where the evidence pulls furthest, up or down.
Worth more than the price
Our value is above the market's: age, output or contract suggest the price hasn't caught up yet.
Priced above our value
The market asks more than our estimate: the evidence points to a lower value.
Under-21s on the rise
Players under 21 whose age lifts our value: young players' prices and fees usually keep rising.
